September 2011 Visa Bulletin EB2 predictions

[sksapcv06]

Please use this thread for September 2011 Visa Bulletin EB2 predictions. what are all your thoughts? How far it go in Sept 2011 bulletin for EB2?

[gorantlamk]

Originally posted by sksapcv06:

Please use this thread for September 2011 Visa Bulletin EB2 predictions. what are all your thoughts? How far it go in Sept 2011 bulletin for EB2?

I dotn want to shatter any one's dreams but my guess is it might move a month or so. My PD is in 2008 i cant wait for it come close, hey if it moves beyond a month wouldnt that be nice...

[Suncrest]

While it is worthless to predict, because it does not help anyone, it does help get peoples wishes and hopes.

I believe the date for EB2 India and China will be March 2008. My reasoning is that this way people will be able to apply for adjustment and USCIS will get an idea of the pipeline. In October it will retrogress to September 2007.

This makes it more orderly rather than the abrupt method that was prevalent prior to June 2007.

Please let me know thoughts!

[Pokymon]

Is it true that USCIS concentrates only on EB2?

[tusharvk]

the prediction can be done based on the pending 485 apps and the inventory.

no retrogression expected; but pls do not count on aggressively fast movement either

[sksapcv06]

Any other thoughts?

[Chebby]

The USCIS shouldnot have any interest in any of these categories. Nobody in this country really care for pottential immigrants. Its all the people fate. We are in the line and should wait for our turn. I believe we should think posstively and motivate ourselves.

I think the movement may be till 05/15.

[thesun]

My 2 cents.... It is probably less than a week away, so let it happen when it happens. Why waste brain cycles thinking/worrying about it? :)

[tusharvk]

just a few more days and we can know.

Anyway, based on the demand data, there is no pending demand in eb2in till jan 1, 07. This suggests that the pd will not retrogress prior to jan 1.

If they can provide finer data on the month by month demand rather than cumulative total pending prior to jan 1, 08, we can make informed predictions on the month as well.

[nipukumar]

Hi folks,

Would anyone in the thread mind to educate me, if all the VISA nos (140,000) has to be exhausted by the time September VISA bulletin is out? If USCIS can not use some visa nos from the 140,000 allotment these are just waste VISA nos ? They dont spill over to next FY?

Cheers,

N

[sp_0826]

I found these 2 links on the USCIS website, but couldn't make much sense out of it. It's updated on August 8 2011. Any thoughts on these numbers for the predicted movement for EB2 or EB3 India ??

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/WaitingListItem.pdf

http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/EmploymentDemandUsedForCutOffDates.pdf

[whiskeylover]

It has been released.

No movement for EB2 I/C.

Good movement for EB3 though.

[sksapcv06]

EB2 backlog per link http://www.travel.state.gov/pdf/EmploymentDemandUsedForCutOffDates.pdf

is 4,925.

is there chance to PD become current for Jan 2011 next year?

My calculation is EB2 2800 + EB1 Spill over (may be more than 1200) is 5000.

Experts,

do you think that analysis is right? is it possible to get current next year for PD MAR 2009?

[win_01]

Originally posted by sksapcv06:

its a useless effort making predictions . USCIS has thier own way of doing things and sometimes it can even become a random process. so just sit back and wait for visa bulletin to be released month to month

[rajaramesh]

http://www.travel.state.gov/visa/bulletin/bulletin_5518.html