No significanr movement from EB3 to EB2

[sanjay_6patel]

Another good news for EB2 folks!!

As per June Visa bulletine there is no significant movement of EB3 to EB2:

"

VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE EMPLOYMENT SECOND PREFERENCE CATEGORY

As mentioned in the May Visa Bulletin, Section 202(a)(5) of the Immigration and Nationality Act (INA) prescribes rules for the use of potentially “otherwise unused†Employment numbers. During May the India Employment Second preference cut-off date is governing the use of such numbers, because India had reached its Employment Second annual limit.

Since October there has been heavy demand by applicants "upgrading" their status from Employment Third to Employment Second preference. The rapid forward movement of the India Employment Second preference cut-off date in May had the potential to greatly increase such demand. Therefore, the determination of the June cut-off dates was delayed in order to monitor this demand. At this time the amount of new "upgrade" demand has been minimal; this has allowed the Employment Second preference cut-off date governing the use of the Section 202(a)(5) numbers to advance significantly for June. The same cut-off date will apply to both China and India Employment Second preference. Note that under INA Section 203(e) all of the “otherwise unused†numbers must be provided strictly in priority date order regardless of the applicant’s chargeability.

"

[sanjay_6patel]

Visa spills: 12,000

EB2-I movement: 5 months (1.5 May, 3.5 June)

That is 2400 visa to move forward a month.

If the ratio remains the same then by end of the quarter in Sept 2011, this is what I expect.

Expected Visa spills: 20,000 (same as last year)

Expected EB2-I movement: 20000/2400 = 8.3 months

Which is July 2007 !!!